Did this 1 in 7.5 trillion Minecraft speedrun actually happen?

Dream, a YouTuber with 15 million subscribers, did an impressive speedrun on the hit sandbox game, Minecraft. However, many people are questioning Dream’s luck during the run. Was it too good to be true? 

In early October 2020, Dream livestreamed an impressive Minecraft speedrun. Despite how many Minecraft speedruns involve an intense amount of luck, Dream’s speedrun truly stood out. Aspects normally with low chances happened frequently during his run. 

Dream submitted it to speedrun.com. It originally was awarded 5^th place for his newfound record, but the moderators ended up taking down the speedrun due to Dream’s luck being insanely difficult to recreate. Later, Dream uploaded a response video to the accusations of him cheating. Despite the long response he made to try and clear his name, the moderators of speedrun.com stuck to their point, not giving Dream his 5^th place back. 

Speedrunning is completing a video game in the fastest way possible, usually competing for a world record. Most of these speedruns are submitted on a site called speedrun.com. To have your speedrun be submitted on the site, you cannot use edited versions of games, since that would make it unfair for any speedrunners with unedited versions of the game. With edited versions of games, you can change the chance of good probability over bad.  

Faked speedruns are quite common, as people usually edit separate clips together to make it look like they did it all in one go. However, cheating always comes with consequences. Not only will you get banned from speedrun.com, but your reputation may be ruined as well.  

The moderators observed Dream’s speedrun for months, doing the math to find a probability for replicating his it. They concluded with the probability of pulling off Dream’s speedrun to be an absurd 1 in 7.5 trillion, which is like winning the lottery 536334 times in your life.  

Dream claims he has no reason for him to risk his reputation by cheating, since he’s already a very popular YouTuber. He suggested that the odds must’ve been lower, and that it was just luck helping him with the speedrun.  

Despite his response, the moderators and many other internet users have denied Dream’s statements. In contrast, popular YouTubers such as Mr. Beast and Video Game Dunkey  support Dream and believe he did not cheat. This online drama continues to this day, with both sides constantly harassing each other. 

What will happen next is uncertain. Either the moderators are wrong, or Dream is lying. If Dream is confirmed to have truly cheated, he would receive a massive drop in subscribers as a lot of attention would get drawn to his disproven lies. If the moderators were wrong, some speedrunners would refuse to submit to speedrun.com, since the moderator’s math could be incorrect and untrustworthy.  

Either way, someone’s reputation will be ruined, that is, if one hasn’t been ruined already. 

Image By DasMonster on Pixabay